Gaziantep FK
Çorum FK
Gaziantep FK – Çorum FK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.45
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Gaziantep FK at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.40 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.45 for Çorum FK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Gaziantep FK took 7 points and Çorum FK 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gaziantep FK | 2.60 | 36 % | -3.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -15.0 % |
| 2Çorum FK | 2.60 | 36 % | -4.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Gaziantep FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Çorum FK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gaziantep FK – Çorum FK?
Our model gives 1 · Gaziantep FK a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gaziantep FK win 37 %, draw 26 %, Çorum FK win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Gaziantep FK – Çorum FK?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.