Standard Liege
Royal Charleroi SC
Standard Liege – Royal Charleroi SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.56
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Royal Charleroi SC away from home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.17 goals for Standard Liege and 1.56 for Royal Charleroi SC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 40 %. Over their last five matches, Standard Liege took 9 points and Royal Charleroi SC 12 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Standard Liege, 0 draws, 3 wins for Royal Charleroi SC. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Standard Liege | 2.90 | 32 % | -22.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -10.0 % |
| 2Royal Charleroi SC | 2.35 | 40 % | +10.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Standard Liege
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Royal Charleroi SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Standard Liege
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Royal Charleroi SC
- Standard Liege0-2Royal Charleroi SC
- Royal Charleroi SC1-2Standard Liege
- Royal Charleroi SC2-0Standard Liege
- Standard Liege3-1Royal Charleroi SC
- Standard Liege0-1Royal Charleroi SC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Standard Liege – Royal Charleroi SC?
Our model gives 2 · Royal Charleroi SC a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Standard Liege win 27 %, draw 26 %, Royal Charleroi SC win 47 %.
What is the most likely score for Standard Liege – Royal Charleroi SC?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.