Konyaspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
Konyaspor – Istanbul Basaksehir
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.52
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Istanbul Basaksehir away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.16 goals for Konyaspor and 1.52 for Istanbul Basaksehir. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Konyaspor took 4 points and Istanbul Basaksehir 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Konyaspor, 0 draws, 3 wins for Istanbul Basaksehir. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Konyaspor | 2.65 | 35 % | -21.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -0.3 % |
| 2Istanbul Basaksehir | 2.50 | 37 % | +3.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Konyaspor
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Istanbul Basaksehir
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Konyaspor
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir2-0Konyaspor
- Konyaspor2-1Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir1-0Konyaspor
- Konyaspor3-2Istanbul Basaksehir
- Konyaspor2-3Istanbul Basaksehir
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Konyaspor – Istanbul Basaksehir?
Our model gives 2 · Istanbul Basaksehir a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Konyaspor win 30 %, draw 29 %, Istanbul Basaksehir win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Konyaspor – Istanbul Basaksehir?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.