Como
AS Roma
Como – AS Roma
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Como at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for Como and 1.30 for AS Roma. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Como took 12 points and AS Roma 11 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Como, 0 draws, 2 wins for AS Roma. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Como | 2.55 | 37 % | +2.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.48 | 27 % | -8.6 % |
| 2AS Roma | 2.60 | 36 % | -13.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Como
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AS Roma
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Como
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- AS Roma
- Como2-1AS Roma
- AS Roma1-0Como
- AS Roma2-1Como
- Como2-0AS Roma
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Como – AS Roma?
Our model gives 1 · Como a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Como win 40 %, draw 26 %, AS Roma win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Como – AS Roma?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.