Qingdao West Coast
Dalian Yingbo
Qingdao West Coast – Dalian Yingbo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.51 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Qingdao West Coast at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.51 goals for Qingdao West Coast and 1.18 for Dalian Yingbo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 36 %. Over their last five matches, Qingdao West Coast took 7 points and Dalian Yingbo 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Qingdao West Coast, 0 draws, 0 wins for Dalian Yingbo. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Qingdao West Coast | 2.60 | 36 % | +12.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -7.3 % |
| 2Dalian Yingbo | 2.60 | 36 % | -25.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Qingdao West Coast
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dalian Yingbo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Qingdao West Coast
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Dalian Yingbo
- Dalian Yingbo2-3Qingdao West Coast
- Dalian Yingbo0-2Qingdao West Coast
- Qingdao West Coast2-0Dalian Yingbo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Qingdao West Coast – Dalian Yingbo?
Our model gives 1 · Qingdao West Coast a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Qingdao West Coast win 43 %, draw 28 %, Dalian Yingbo win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Qingdao West Coast – Dalian Yingbo?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.