Kawasaki Frontale
Nagoya Grampus
Kawasaki Frontale – Nagoya Grampus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kawasaki Frontale at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.61 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.12 for Nagoya Grampus. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kawasaki Frontale took 10 points and Nagoya Grampus 3 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Kawasaki Frontale, 0 draws, 1 win for Nagoya Grampus. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kawasaki Frontale | 1.83 | 51 % | -6.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -2.3 % |
| 2Nagoya Grampus | 3.85 | 24 % | -8.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kawasaki Frontale
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nagoya Grampus
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Kawasaki Frontale
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus3-4Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale4-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus2-0Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale2-1Nagoya Grampus
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale – Nagoya Grampus?
Our model gives 1 · Kawasaki Frontale a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kawasaki Frontale win 51 %, draw 25 %, Nagoya Grampus win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Kawasaki Frontale – Nagoya Grampus?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.