Querétaro
Atlante
Querétaro – Atlante
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 1.08
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Querétaro at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for Querétaro and 1.08 for Atlante. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Querétaro took 10 points and Atlante 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Querétaro | 2.10 | 45 % | +2.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -14.5 % |
| 2Atlante | 3.50 | 27 % | -13.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Querétaro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlante
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Querétaro – Atlante?
Our model gives 1 · Querétaro a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Querétaro win 49 %, draw 26 %, Atlante win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for Querétaro – Atlante?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.