Vasco da Gama
Remo
Vasco da Gama – Remo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.89 – 0.86
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Vasco da Gama at home (63 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.89 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.86 for Remo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 73 %. Over their last five matches, Vasco da Gama took 13 points and Remo 1 point. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Vasco da Gama, 1 draw, 0 wins for Remo. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasco da Gama | 1.29 | 73 % | -18.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +22.2 % |
| 2Remo | 9.00 | 10 % | +33.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Vasco da Gama
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Remo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Vasco da Gama
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Remo
- Remo1-1Vasco da Gama
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vasco da Gama – Remo?
Our model gives 1 · Vasco da Gama a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vasco da Gama win 63 %, draw 22 %, Remo win 15 %.
What is the most likely score for Vasco da Gama – Remo?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.