Académico de Viseu
Estoril
Académico de Viseu – Estoril
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.15 – 1.23
The short version
Final score: Académico de Viseu 2-1 Estoril. The model predicted a win for Estoril (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.15 goals for Académico de Viseu and 1.23 for Estoril. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Académico de Viseu took 10 points and Estoril 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Académico de Viseu | 2.27 | 41 % | -27.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.38 | 28 % | +2.9 % |
| 2Estoril | 3.02 | 31 % | +14.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Académico de Viseu
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Estoril
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Académico de Viseu – Estoril?
Final score: Académico de Viseu 2-1 Estoril. The model predicted a win for Estoril (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Académico de Viseu – Estoril?
Our model gives 2 · Estoril a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Académico de Viseu win 32 %, draw 30 %, Estoril win 38 %.