Zulte-Waregem
KAA Gent
Zulte-Waregem – KAA Gent
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Zulte-Waregem at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Zulte-Waregem and 1.19 for KAA Gent. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Zulte-Waregem took 7 points and KAA Gent 13 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Zulte-Waregem, 0 draws, 1 win for KAA Gent. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zulte-Waregem | 2.95 | 32 % | +11.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -4.4 % |
| 2KAA Gent | 2.40 | 39 % | -22.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Zulte-Waregem
- Last 5 matches
- At home
KAA Gent
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Zulte-Waregem
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- KAA Gent
- KAA Gent2-0Zulte-Waregem
- Zulte-Waregem4-1KAA Gent
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zulte-Waregem – KAA Gent?
Our model gives 1 · Zulte-Waregem a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Zulte-Waregem win 38 %, draw 30 %, KAA Gent win 32 %.
What is the most likely score for Zulte-Waregem – KAA Gent?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.