AS Monaco
Toulouse
AS Monaco – Toulouse
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.89 – 1.12
The short version
Final score: AS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse. The model predicted a win for AS Monaco (58 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.89 goals for AS Monaco and 1.12 for Toulouse. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AS Monaco took 13 points and Toulouse 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for AS Monaco, 2 draws, 1 win for Toulouse. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Monaco | 1.60 | 59 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.25 | 22 % | -5.6 % |
| 2Toulouse | 5.25 | 18 % | +5.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AS Monaco
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Toulouse
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- AS Monaco
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Toulouse
- Toulouse2-2AS Monaco
- AS Monaco1-0Toulouse
- Toulouse1-1AS Monaco
- AS Monaco2-0Toulouse
- AS Monaco1-2Toulouse
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AS Monaco – Toulouse?
Final score: AS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse. The model predicted a win for AS Monaco (58 %): missed prediction.
Who will win AS Monaco – Toulouse?
Our model gives 1 · AS Monaco a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Monaco win 58 %, draw 22 %, Toulouse win 20 %.