1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Nürnberg – VfL Wolfsburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.81 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Nürnberg (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.81 goals for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.33 for VfL Wolfsburg. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Nürnberg took 11 points and VfL Wolfsburg 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Nürnberg | 2.50 | 38 % | +24.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -8.9 % |
| 2VfL Wolfsburg | 2.55 | 37 % | -32.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Nürnberg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfL Wolfsburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of 1. FC Nürnberg – VfL Wolfsburg?
Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 VfL Wolfsburg. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Nürnberg (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg – VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model gives 1 · 1. FC Nürnberg a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Nürnberg win 50 %, draw 24 %, VfL Wolfsburg win 26 %.