Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente
Fortuna Sittard – FC Twente
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 2.64
The short version
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 FC Twente. The model predicted a win for FC Twente (67 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.02 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.64 for FC Twente. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fortuna Sittard took 9 points and FC Twente 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 1 draw, 4 wins for FC Twente. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fortuna Sittard | 6.00 | 16 % | -22.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | +4.3 % |
| 2FC Twente | 1.42 | 66 % | -4.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fortuna Sittard
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Twente
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Fortuna Sittard
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- FC Twente
- Fortuna Sittard1-2FC Twente
- FC Twente3-2Fortuna Sittard
- FC Twente1-1Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard1-2FC Twente
- FC Twente2-0Fortuna Sittard
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fortuna Sittard – FC Twente?
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 FC Twente. The model predicted a win for FC Twente (67 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard – FC Twente?
Our model gives 2 · FC Twente a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fortuna Sittard win 13 %, draw 20 %, FC Twente win 67 %.