RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.23 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71 %
- Both teams to score
- 69 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards RB Leipzig at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.23 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.47 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Bookmakers say the same thing: 60 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, RB Leipzig took 6 points and Eintracht Frankfurt 8 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for RB Leipzig, 0 draws, 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 69 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1RB Leipzig | 1.55 | 60 % | -13.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.67 | 20 % | +7.4 % |
| 2Eintracht Frankfurt | 4.85 | 19 % | +4.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
RB Leipzig
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- RB Leipzig
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt1-3RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig6-0Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt4-0RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig2-1Eintracht Frankfurt
- RB Leipzig3-0Eintracht Frankfurt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model gives 1 · RB Leipzig a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: RB Leipzig win 56 %, draw 23 %, Eintracht Frankfurt win 21 %.
What is the most likely score for RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.