Lerkendal Stadion
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
Rosenborg – Sandefjord
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.91 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rosenborg at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.91 goals for Rosenborg and 1.20 for Sandefjord. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, Rosenborg took 12 points and Sandefjord 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Rosenborg, 2 draws, 1 win for Sandefjord. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rosenborg | 1.36 | 69 % | -24.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +30.3 % |
| 2Sandefjord | 6.50 | 14 % | +33.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Rosenborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sandefjord
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Rosenborg
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Sandefjord
- Sandefjord0-0Rosenborg
- Rosenborg1-1Sandefjord
- Sandefjord2-0Rosenborg
- Sandefjord0-1Rosenborg
- Rosenborg2-0Sandefjord
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosenborg – Sandefjord?
Our model gives 1 · Rosenborg a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rosenborg win 56 %, draw 24 %, Sandefjord win 21 %.
What is the most likely score for Rosenborg – Sandefjord?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.