Caykur Rizespor
Fenerbahce
Caykur Rizespor – Fenerbahce
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.01 – 2.04
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Fenerbahce away from home (63 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.01 goals for Caykur Rizespor and 2.04 for Fenerbahce. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, Caykur Rizespor took 7 points and Fenerbahce 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Caykur Rizespor, 1 draw, 4 wins for Fenerbahce. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Caykur Rizespor | 4.30 | 22 % | -27.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -18.4 % |
| 2Fenerbahce | 1.71 | 55 % | +6.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Caykur Rizespor
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fenerbahce
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Caykur Rizespor
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce2-2Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor2-5Fenerbahce
- Fenerbahce3-2Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor0-5Fenerbahce
- Caykur Rizespor1-3Fenerbahce
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Caykur Rizespor – Fenerbahce?
Our model gives 2 · Fenerbahce a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Caykur Rizespor win 17 %, draw 21 %, Fenerbahce win 63 %.
What is the most likely score for Caykur Rizespor – Fenerbahce?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.