Lille
Le Havre AC
Lille – Le Havre AC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.82 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lille 1-0 Le Havre AC. The model predicted a win for Lille (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.82 goals for Lille and 0.94 for Le Havre AC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lille took 7 points and Le Havre AC 2 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Lille, 1 draw, 1 win for Le Havre AC. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lille | 1.44 | 66 % | -8.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.62 | 21 % | -3.7 % |
| 2Le Havre AC | 7.00 | 14 % | +8.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Le Havre AC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Lille
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Le Havre AC
- Lille1-1Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC0-1Lille
- Lille1-2Le Havre AC
- Le Havre AC0-3Lille
- Lille3-0Le Havre AC
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille – Le Havre AC?
Final score: Lille 1-0 Le Havre AC. The model predicted a win for Lille (64 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lille – Le Havre AC?
Our model gives 1 · Lille a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lille win 64 %, draw 21 %, Le Havre AC win 15 %.