Grazer AK
RB Salzburg
Grazer AK – RB Salzburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.87 – 1.98
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards RB Salzburg away from home (62 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.87 goals for Grazer AK and 1.98 for RB Salzburg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 63 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Grazer AK took 5 points and RB Salzburg 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Grazer AK, 2 draws, 2 wins for RB Salzburg. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Grazer AK | 5.50 | 17 % | -21.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | +9.1 % |
| 2RB Salzburg | 1.48 | 63 % | -7.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Grazer AK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RB Salzburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Grazer AK
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- RB Salzburg
- Grazer AK1-1RB Salzburg
- RB Salzburg5-0Grazer AK
- RB Salzburg0-0Grazer AK
- Grazer AK2-3RB Salzburg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Grazer AK – RB Salzburg?
Our model gives 2 · RB Salzburg a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Grazer AK win 14 %, draw 23 %, RB Salzburg win 62 %.
What is the most likely score for Grazer AK – RB Salzburg?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.