Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt – Kristiansund BK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 88 %
- Most likely score
- 3-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.71 – 0.71
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt at home (88 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.71 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.71 for Kristiansund BK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 88 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt took 9 points and Kristiansund BK 4 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 1 draw, 0 wins for Kristiansund BK. Over 2.5 goals: 82 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodo/Glimt | 1.06 | 88 % | -6.7 % |
| XDraw | 14.00 | 7 % | +17.0 % |
| 2Kristiansund BK | 19.00 | 5 % | -31.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kristiansund BK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Bodo/Glimt
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK0-3Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt7-1Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK1-1Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt4-0Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK2-4Bodo/Glimt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt – Kristiansund BK?
Our model gives 1 · Bodo/Glimt a 88 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bodo/Glimt win 88 %, draw 8 %, Kristiansund BK win 4 %.
What is the most likely score for Bodo/Glimt – Kristiansund BK?
The most likely score is 3-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.