Rangers
Kilmarnock
Rangers – Kilmarnock
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.58 – 0.75
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rangers at home (78 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.58 goals for Rangers and 0.75 for Kilmarnock. Bookmakers say the same thing: 83 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rangers took 15 points and Kilmarnock 5 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for Rangers, 0 draws, 0 wins for Kilmarnock. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rangers | 1.12 | 83 % | -12.8 % |
| XDraw | 8.25 | 11 % | +23.5 % |
| 2Kilmarnock | 15.50 | 6 % | +11.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Rangers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kilmarnock
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- Rangers
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Kilmarnock
- Rangers5-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock0-3Rangers
- Rangers3-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-4Rangers
- Rangers6-0Kilmarnock
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rangers – Kilmarnock?
Our model gives 1 · Rangers a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rangers win 78 %, draw 15 %, Kilmarnock win 7 %.
What is the most likely score for Rangers – Kilmarnock?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.