Falkirk
Dundee
Falkirk – Dundee
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Falkirk 1-2 Dundee. The model predicted a win for Falkirk (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.55 goals for Falkirk and 1.11 for Dundee. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Falkirk took 5 points and Dundee 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Falkirk, 0 draws, 1 win for Dundee. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Falkirk | 1.98 | 47 % | -4.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -6.9 % |
| 2Dundee | 3.50 | 27 % | -10.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Falkirk
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dundee
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Falkirk
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Dundee
- Falkirk1-0Dundee
- Dundee1-0Falkirk
- Falkirk2-1Dundee
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Falkirk – Dundee?
Final score: Falkirk 1-2 Dundee. The model predicted a win for Falkirk (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Falkirk – Dundee?
Our model gives 1 · Falkirk a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Falkirk win 48 %, draw 26 %, Dundee win 26 %.