Preston North End
Millwall
Preston North End – Millwall
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.99 – 1.63
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Preston North End 0-1 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Millwall (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.99 goals for Preston North End and 1.63 for Millwall. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 40 %. Over their last five matches, Preston North End took 4 points and Millwall 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Preston North End, 3 draws, 2 wins for Millwall. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Preston North End | 2.85 | 33 % | -33.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -13.5 % |
| 2Millwall | 2.38 | 40 % | +21.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Preston North End
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Preston North End
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Millwall
- Preston North End0-2Millwall
- Millwall1-1Preston North End
- Preston North End1-1Millwall
- Millwall3-1Preston North End
- Millwall1-1Preston North End
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Preston North End – Millwall?
Final score: Preston North End 0-1 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Millwall (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Preston North End – Millwall?
Our model gives 2 · Millwall a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Preston North End win 23 %, draw 25 %, Millwall win 51 %.