Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
Bolton Wanderers – Stoke City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.18
The short version
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City. The model predicted a win for Bolton Wanderers (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.18 for Stoke City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Bolton Wanderers took 6 points and Stoke City 13 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bolton Wanderers | 2.70 | 35 % | +25.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -9.9 % |
| 2Stoke City | 2.50 | 38 % | -32.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bolton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Stoke City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers – Stoke City?
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City. The model predicted a win for Bolton Wanderers (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Bolton Wanderers – Stoke City?
Our model gives 1 · Bolton Wanderers a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bolton Wanderers win 46 %, draw 26 %, Stoke City win 27 %.