SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.94
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards VfB Stuttgart away from home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.18 goals for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.94 for VfB Stuttgart. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, SC Paderborn 07 took 7 points and VfB Stuttgart 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SC Paderborn 07 | 4.85 | 19 % | +7.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.63 | 20 % | +18.0 % |
| 2VfB Stuttgart | 1.57 | 60 % | -17.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
SC Paderborn 07
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
Our model gives 2 · VfB Stuttgart a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SC Paderborn 07 win 22 %, draw 26 %, VfB Stuttgart win 52 %.
What is the most likely score for SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.