1. FC Union Berlin
SV Elversberg
1. FC Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: 1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 SV Elversberg. The model predicted a win for SV Elversberg (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.29 goals for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.89 for SV Elversberg. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Union Berlin took 4 points and SV Elversberg 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Union Berlin | 2.35 | 40 % | -41.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -3.7 % |
| 2SV Elversberg | 2.73 | 34 % | +32.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Union Berlin
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SV Elversberg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of 1. FC Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Final score: 1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 SV Elversberg. The model predicted a win for SV Elversberg (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin – SV Elversberg?
Our model gives 2 · SV Elversberg a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Union Berlin win 25 %, draw 26 %, SV Elversberg win 49 %.