Sudtirol
Ascoli
Sudtirol – Ascoli
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.17
The short version
Final score: Sudtirol 0-0 Ascoli. The model predicted a win for Sudtirol (36 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.18 goals for Sudtirol and 1.17 for Ascoli. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sudtirol took 8 points and Ascoli 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Sudtirol, 0 draws, 0 wins for Ascoli. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sudtirol | 2.50 | 38 % | -10.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -2.5 % |
| 2Ascoli | 2.95 | 32 % | -1.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sudtirol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ascoli
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Sudtirol
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Ascoli
- Ascoli1-2Sudtirol
- Sudtirol3-1Ascoli
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sudtirol – Ascoli?
Final score: Sudtirol 0-0 Ascoli. The model predicted a win for Sudtirol (36 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sudtirol – Ascoli?
Our model gives 1 · Sudtirol a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sudtirol win 36 %, draw 31 %, Ascoli win 33 %.