Benevento
Cesena
Benevento – Cesena
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Benevento 2-0 Cesena. The model predicted a win for Benevento (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Benevento and 1.01 for Cesena. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Benevento took 7 points and Cesena 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Benevento | 1.90 | 50 % | +3.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -7.4 % |
| 2Cesena | 3.90 | 24 % | -22.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Benevento
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cesena
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benevento – Cesena?
Final score: Benevento 2-0 Cesena. The model predicted a win for Benevento (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Benevento – Cesena?
Our model gives 1 · Benevento a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benevento win 54 %, draw 26 %, Cesena win 20 %.