West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: West Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City. The model predicted a win for West Bromwich Albion (43 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for West Bromwich Albion and 1.11 for Birmingham City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, West Bromwich Albion took 8 points and Birmingham City 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for West Bromwich Albion, 2 draws, 1 win for Birmingham City. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Bromwich Albion | 2.50 | 38 % | +6.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.33 | 28 % | -7.5 % |
| 2Birmingham City | 2.80 | 34 % | -17.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
West Bromwich Albion
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Birmingham City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- West Bromwich Albion
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Birmingham City
- Birmingham City0-0West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion1-1Birmingham City
- West Bromwich Albion1-0Birmingham City
- Birmingham City3-1West Bromwich Albion
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City?
Final score: West Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City. The model predicted a win for West Bromwich Albion (43 %): missed prediction.