Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic – Bristol City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.11 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bristol City. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.11 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.38 for Bristol City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Charlton Athletic took 3 points and Bristol City 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Charlton Athletic, 1 draw, 1 win for Bristol City. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Charlton Athletic | 3.20 | 29 % | -3.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -5.0 % |
| 2Bristol City | 2.25 | 42 % | -8.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Charlton Athletic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bristol City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Charlton Athletic
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Bristol City
- Charlton Athletic1-2Bristol City
- Bristol City0-0Charlton Athletic
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Charlton Athletic – Bristol City?
Final score: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bristol City. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Charlton Athletic – Bristol City?
Our model gives 2 · Bristol City a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Charlton Athletic win 30 %, draw 29 %, Bristol City win 41 %.