VfL Osnabruck
Dynamo Dresden
VfL Osnabruck – Dynamo Dresden
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 10, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.76
The short version
Final score: VfL Osnabruck 1-1 Dynamo Dresden. The model predicted a win for Dynamo Dresden (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.31 goals for VfL Osnabruck and 1.76 for Dynamo Dresden. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, VfL Osnabruck took 7 points and Dynamo Dresden 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfL Osnabruck | 2.60 | 36 % | -22.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -2.1 % |
| 2Dynamo Dresden | 2.45 | 39 % | +7.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfL Osnabruck
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dynamo Dresden
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VfL Osnabruck – Dynamo Dresden?
Final score: VfL Osnabruck 1-1 Dynamo Dresden. The model predicted a win for Dynamo Dresden (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win VfL Osnabruck – Dynamo Dresden?
Our model gives 2 · Dynamo Dresden a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfL Osnabruck win 30 %, draw 26 %, Dynamo Dresden win 44 %.