1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.62 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 64 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards 1. FC Magdeburg at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.62 goals for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.58 for Hannover 96. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Magdeburg took 10 points and Hannover 96 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg, 1 draw, 4 wins for Hannover 96. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Magdeburg | 2.50 | 37 % | -6.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +2.4 % |
| 2Hannover 96 | 2.40 | 39 % | -12.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
1. FC Magdeburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hannover 96
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- 1. FC Magdeburg
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Hannover 96
- 1. FC Magdeburg1-2Hannover 96
- Hannover 963-11. FC Magdeburg
- Hannover 960-01. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg0-3Hannover 96
- Hannover 962-11. FC Magdeburg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96?
Our model gives 1 · 1. FC Magdeburg a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Magdeburg win 37 %, draw 26 %, Hannover 96 win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for 1. FC Magdeburg – Hannover 96?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.