Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga – Machida Zelvia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.69
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Machida Zelvia. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.09 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.69 for Machida Zelvia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kyoto Sanga took 4 points and Machida Zelvia 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kyoto Sanga, 1 draw, 2 wins for Machida Zelvia. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kyoto Sanga | 3.70 | 25 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Machida Zelvia | 1.90 | 50 % | -1.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kyoto Sanga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Machida Zelvia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kyoto Sanga
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Machida Zelvia
- Kyoto Sanga1-1Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia1-2Kyoto Sanga
- Machida Zelvia1-0Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga0-3Machida Zelvia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kyoto Sanga – Machida Zelvia?
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Machida Zelvia. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga – Machida Zelvia?
Our model gives 2 · Machida Zelvia a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kyoto Sanga win 22 %, draw 26 %, Machida Zelvia win 52 %.