Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka – Fagiano Okayama
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.29
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama. The model predicted a win for Fagiano Okayama (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.18 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.29 for Fagiano Okayama. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Avispa Fukuoka took 1 point and Fagiano Okayama 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Avispa Fukuoka, 2 draws, 1 win for Fagiano Okayama. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Avispa Fukuoka | 3.05 | 31 % | +3.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -13.6 % |
| 2Fagiano Okayama | 2.50 | 38 % | -6.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Avispa Fukuoka
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fagiano Okayama
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Avispa Fukuoka
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama2-0Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka1-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama0-1Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka1-1Fagiano Okayama
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Avispa Fukuoka – Fagiano Okayama?
Final score: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama. The model predicted a win for Fagiano Okayama (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka – Fagiano Okayama?
Our model gives 2 · Fagiano Okayama a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Avispa Fukuoka win 34 %, draw 29 %, Fagiano Okayama win 37 %.