Zhejiang Professional FC
Shanghai Port
Zhejiang Professional FC – Shanghai Port
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-28 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.55
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 64 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shanghai Port away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.64 goals for Zhejiang Professional FC and 1.55 for Shanghai Port. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Zhejiang Professional FC took 7 points and Shanghai Port 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Zhejiang Professional FC, 3 draws, 2 wins for Shanghai Port. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zhejiang Professional FC | 2.55 | 37 % | -7.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | +4.9 % |
| 2Shanghai Port | 2.45 | 39 % | -9.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Zhejiang Professional FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Shanghai Port
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Zhejiang Professional FC
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port2-2Zhejiang Professional FC
- Shanghai Port3-0Zhejiang Professional FC
- Zhejiang Professional FC2-2Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port3-1Zhejiang Professional FC
- Zhejiang Professional FC0-0
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Zhejiang Professional FC – Shanghai Port?
Our model gives 2 · Shanghai Port a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Zhejiang Professional FC win 36 %, draw 27 %, Shanghai Port win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Zhejiang Professional FC – Shanghai Port?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.