Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
Kashiwa Reysol – Vissel Kobe
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kashiwa Reysol at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.34 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.25 for Vissel Kobe. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Kashiwa Reysol took 6 points and Vissel Kobe 15 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kashiwa Reysol, 2 draws, 1 win for Vissel Kobe. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kashiwa Reysol | 2.20 | 43 % | -16.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -4.1 % |
| 2Vissel Kobe | 3.20 | 30 % | +9.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kashiwa Reysol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vissel Kobe
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kashiwa Reysol
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe0-0Kashiwa Reysol
- Kashiwa Reysol1-3Vissel Kobe
- Kashiwa Reysol1-1Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe0-1Kashiwa Reysol
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol – Vissel Kobe?
Our model gives 1 · Kashiwa Reysol a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kashiwa Reysol win 38 %, draw 28 %, Vissel Kobe win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Kashiwa Reysol – Vissel Kobe?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.