West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
West Ham United – Queens Park Rangers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 66 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.10 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards West Ham United at home (66 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.10 goals for West Ham United and 0.99 for Queens Park Rangers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 63 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, West Ham United took 10 points and Queens Park Rangers 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for West Ham United, 0 draws, 0 wins for Queens Park Rangers. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Ham United | 1.50 | 63 % | -0.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.45 | 21 % | -15.1 % |
| 2Queens Park Rangers | 5.88 | 16 % | -12.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Queens Park Rangers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- West Ham United
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Queens Park Rangers
- West Ham United2-1Queens Park Rangers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Ham United – Queens Park Rangers?
Our model gives 1 · West Ham United a 66 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Ham United win 66 %, draw 19 %, Queens Park Rangers win 15 %.
What is the most likely score for West Ham United – Queens Park Rangers?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.