Dunkerque
Annecy
Dunkerque – Annecy
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Dunkerque at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Dunkerque and 1.25 for Annecy. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Dunkerque took 4 points and Annecy 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Dunkerque, 1 draw, 3 wins for Annecy. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dunkerque | 2.25 | 42 % | -12.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -2.6 % |
| 2Annecy | 2.95 | 32 % | -1.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Dunkerque
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Annecy
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Dunkerque
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Annecy
- Dunkerque0-1Annecy
- Annecy2-2Dunkerque
- Annecy0-2Dunkerque
- Dunkerque0-2Annecy
- Dunkerque0-2Annecy
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dunkerque – Annecy?
Our model gives 1 · Dunkerque a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dunkerque win 39 %, draw 28 %, Annecy win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Dunkerque – Annecy?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.