IFK Göteborg
Västerås SK
IFK Göteborg – Västerås SK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IFK Göteborg at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.47 goals for IFK Göteborg and 1.19 for Västerås SK. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, IFK Göteborg took 13 points and Västerås SK 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for IFK Göteborg, 2 draws, 0 wins for Västerås SK. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Göteborg | 1.74 | 54 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +1.6 % |
| 2Västerås SK | 4.20 | 22 % | +13.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
IFK Göteborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Västerås SK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- IFK Göteborg
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Västerås SK
- Västerås SK4-5IFK Göteborg
- Västerås SK1-1IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg1-1Västerås SK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IFK Göteborg – Västerås SK?
Our model gives 1 · IFK Göteborg a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IFK Göteborg win 47 %, draw 26 %, Västerås SK win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for IFK Göteborg – Västerås SK?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.