Right to Dream Park
FC Nordsjælland
Odense Boldklub
FC Nordsjælland – Odense Boldklub
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.26 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Nordsjælland at home (65 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.26 goals for FC Nordsjælland and 0.95 for Odense Boldklub. Bookmakers say the same thing: 62 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Nordsjælland took 7 points and Odense Boldklub 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for FC Nordsjælland, 1 draw, 2 wins for Odense Boldklub. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Nordsjælland | 1.50 | 62 % | -2.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -2.9 % |
| 2Odense Boldklub | 5.25 | 18 % | -24.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Odense Boldklub
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- FC Nordsjælland
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Odense Boldklub
- FC Nordsjælland2-4Odense Boldklub
- Odense Boldklub1-2FC Nordsjælland
- Odense Boldklub1-1FC Nordsjælland
- FC Nordsjælland0-1Odense Boldklub
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Nordsjælland – Odense Boldklub?
Our model gives 1 · FC Nordsjælland a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Nordsjælland win 65 %, draw 21 %, Odense Boldklub win 14 %.
What is the most likely score for FC Nordsjælland – Odense Boldklub?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.