1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Kaiserslautern
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Kaiserslautern
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.59 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.59 goals for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and 1.26 for Kaiserslautern. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 10 points and Kaiserslautern 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 1.86 | 50 % | -21.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -6.0 % |
| 2Kaiserslautern | 4.00 | 23 % | +21.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kaiserslautern
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Kaiserslautern?
Our model gives 1 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win 42 %, draw 27 %, Kaiserslautern win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Kaiserslautern?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.