Palmeiras
Bahia
Palmeiras – Bahia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.86 – 0.93
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia. The model predicted a win for Palmeiras (61 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.86 goals for Palmeiras and 0.93 for Bahia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Palmeiras took 8 points and Bahia 12 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Palmeiras, 0 draws, 2 wins for Bahia. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Palmeiras | 1.62 | 58 % | -1.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -9.5 % |
| 2Bahia | 5.00 | 19 % | -14.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Palmeiras
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bahia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Palmeiras
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Bahia
- Bahia1-2Palmeiras
- Bahia1-0Palmeiras
- Palmeiras0-1Bahia
- Bahia1-2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-0Bahia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palmeiras – Bahia?
Final score: Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia. The model predicted a win for Palmeiras (61 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Palmeiras – Bahia?
Our model gives 1 · Palmeiras a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Palmeiras win 61 %, draw 22 %, Bahia win 17 %.