Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense – Coritiba
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.85 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fluminense 4-0 Coritiba. The model predicted a win for Fluminense (61 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.85 goals for Fluminense and 0.89 for Coritiba. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fluminense took 9 points and Coritiba 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Fluminense, 1 draw, 0 wins for Coritiba. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fluminense | 1.48 | 64 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 22 % | -7.2 % |
| 2Coritiba | 6.50 | 14 % | +13.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fluminense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Coritiba
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Fluminense
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Coritiba
- Coritiba1-1Fluminense
- Fluminense2-1Coritiba
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fluminense – Coritiba?
Final score: Fluminense 4-0 Coritiba. The model predicted a win for Fluminense (61 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Fluminense – Coritiba?
Our model gives 1 · Fluminense a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fluminense win 61 %, draw 22 %, Coritiba win 17 %.