Ceará
Criciúma
Ceará – Criciúma
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 8, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ceará 1-0 Criciúma. The model predicted a win for Ceará (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.20 goals for Ceará and 1.10 for Criciúma. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Ceará took 8 points and Criciúma 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Ceará, 1 draw, 0 wins for Criciúma. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceará | 2.45 | 39 % | -6.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Criciúma | 3.00 | 31 % | -4.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ceará
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Criciúma
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Ceará
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Criciúma
- Criciúma1-1Ceará
- Ceará1-0Criciúma
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ceará – Criciúma?
Final score: Ceará 1-0 Criciúma. The model predicted a win for Ceará (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Ceará – Criciúma?
Our model gives 1 · Ceará a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ceará win 38 %, draw 30 %, Criciúma win 32 %.