Vila Nova
Cuiabá
Vila Nova – Cuiabá
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 7, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiabá. The model predicted a win for Vila Nova (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.38 goals for Vila Nova and 1.00 for Cuiabá. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Vila Nova took 13 points and Cuiabá 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Vila Nova, 1 draw, 2 wins for Cuiabá. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vila Nova | 2.10 | 45 % | -2.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -7.1 % |
| 2Cuiabá | 3.80 | 25 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vila Nova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cuiabá
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Vila Nova
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Cuiabá
- Cuiabá1-0Vila Nova
- Vila Nova2-2Cuiabá
- Cuiabá1-0Vila Nova
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vila Nova – Cuiabá?
Final score: Vila Nova 0-0 Cuiabá. The model predicted a win for Vila Nova (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Vila Nova – Cuiabá?
Our model gives 1 · Vila Nova a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vila Nova win 47 %, draw 30 %, Cuiabá win 23 %.