CRB
Atlético Goianiense
CRB – Atlético Goianiense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards CRB at home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.53 goals for CRB and 0.99 for Atlético Goianiense. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, CRB took 6 points and Atlético Goianiense 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for CRB, 1 draw, 1 win for Atlético Goianiense. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1CRB | 2.05 | 45 % | -0.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -7.8 % |
| 2Atlético Goianiense | 3.55 | 26 % | -15.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
CRB
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético Goianiense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- CRB
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Atlético Goianiense
- Atlético Goianiense3-3CRB
- CRB2-1Atlético Goianiense
- Atlético Goianiense2-1CRB
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CRB – Atlético Goianiense?
Our model gives 1 · CRB a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: CRB win 48 %, draw 28 %, Atlético Goianiense win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for CRB – Atlético Goianiense?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.