Operário PR
Botafogo-SP
Operário PR – Botafogo-SP
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Operário PR at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Operário PR and 0.96 for Botafogo-SP. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Operário PR took 8 points and Botafogo-SP 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Operário PR, 2 draws, 2 wins for Botafogo-SP. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Operário PR | 2.00 | 47 % | -0.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -14.4 % |
| 2Botafogo-SP | 3.85 | 24 % | -9.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Operário PR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Botafogo-SP
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Operário PR
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP2-1Operário PR
- Botafogo-SP1-1Operário PR
- Operário PR3-0Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP0-0Operário PR
- Operário PR0-1Botafogo-SP
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Operário PR – Botafogo-SP?
Our model gives 1 · Operário PR a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Operário PR win 50 %, draw 27 %, Botafogo-SP win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Operário PR – Botafogo-SP?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.