Remo
Grêmio
Remo – Grêmio
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Remo at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.40 goals for Remo and 1.09 for Grêmio. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Remo took no points and Grêmio 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Remo, 1 draw, 0 wins for Grêmio. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Remo | 2.30 | 41 % | +0.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | +0.6 % |
| 2Grêmio | 2.95 | 32 % | -21.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Remo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Grêmio
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Remo
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Grêmio
- Grêmio0-0Remo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Remo – Grêmio?
Our model gives 1 · Remo a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Remo win 44 %, draw 30 %, Grêmio win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for Remo – Grêmio?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.