Red Bull Bragantino
Mirassol
Red Bull Bragantino – Mirassol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 0.97
The short version
Final score: Red Bull Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol. The model predicted a win for Red Bull Bragantino (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Red Bull Bragantino and 0.97 for Mirassol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Red Bull Bragantino took 1 point and Mirassol 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Red Bull Bragantino, 1 draw, 0 wins for Mirassol. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Red Bull Bragantino | 1.83 | 52 % | -10.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +0.5 % |
| 2Mirassol | 4.10 | 23 % | +0.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Red Bull Bragantino
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mirassol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Red Bull Bragantino
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Mirassol
- Mirassol0-1Red Bull Bragantino
- Mirassol1-1Red Bull Bragantino
- Red Bull Bragantino1-0Mirassol
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Red Bull Bragantino – Mirassol?
Final score: Red Bull Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol. The model predicted a win for Red Bull Bragantino (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Red Bull Bragantino – Mirassol?
Our model gives 1 · Red Bull Bragantino a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Red Bull Bragantino win 49 %, draw 26 %, Mirassol win 25 %.