Mexico
Chile
Mexico – Chile
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 7, 03:03 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.15 – 0.73
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Mexico 0-2 Chile. The model predicted a win for Mexico (73 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.15 goals for Mexico and 0.73 for Chile. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Mexico took 5 points and Chile 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mexico | 1.58 | 59 % | +16.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -29.4 % |
| 2Chile | 5.25 | 18 % | -51.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mexico
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chile
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mexico – Chile?
Final score: Mexico 0-2 Chile. The model predicted a win for Mexico (73 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Mexico – Chile?
Our model gives 1 · Mexico a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mexico win 73 %, draw 17 %, Chile win 9 %.