Colombia
Peru
Colombia – Peru
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 77 %
- Most likely score
- 2-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.26 – 0.62
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Colombia 2-0 Peru. The model predicted a win for Colombia (77 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.26 goals for Colombia and 0.62 for Peru. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 67 %. Over their last five matches, Colombia took 6 points and Peru 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Colombia, 2 draws, 0 wins for Peru. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 42 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colombia | 1.40 | 67 % | +7.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | -28.5 % |
| 2Peru | 8.00 | 12 % | -43.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Colombia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Peru
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Colombia
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Peru
- Colombia0-0Peru
- Peru1-1Colombia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Colombia – Peru?
Final score: Colombia 2-0 Peru. The model predicted a win for Colombia (77 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Colombia – Peru?
Our model gives 1 · Colombia a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Colombia win 77 %, draw 16 %, Peru win 7 %.